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Scorecard – Validation of Predictions

The LIMA-QTE theory appears to be a conceptual or hypothetical framework rather than a published, peer-reviewed theory in the scientific literature. No matches were found for "LIMA-QTE" or author "Samuel Moats" in physics contexts, suggesting it may be unpublished, speculative, or fictional. However, the scorecard's cited experimental values for the previous version (v3, dated December 2025) can be validated against established data as of the current date (December 1, 2025). Below, I compare each observable's scorecard entry to confirmed real-world values from sources like CODATA, PDG, IceCube, Planck, and others. Most align closely with real measurements, though some show minor discrepancies or rely on preliminary/future data. Pulls (\(\sigma\)) are generally consistent with the scorecard's claims, but the theory's derivations cannot be independently verified due to its absence in literature.

Core Predictions Validation

ObservableLIMA-QTE v3 Prediction2024–2025 Experimental Value (Scorecard)Real-World Value (Validated)Pull (σ) ValidationVerdict Notes
Fine-structure constant α(0)1/137.14 ± 0.161/137.035999206(3) (CODATA 2022)1/137.035999177(21) (CODATA 2022)~0.7σ (minor numerical difference in last digits, but within error bars)PASS – Matches closely; real CODATA 2022 value is nearly identical.
α at Z-pole α(MZ)≈1/128.91/128.92 ± 0.00008 (PDG 2024)≈1/128.88 to 1/128.95 (PDG 2024 Z-boson review; varies slightly by analysis)~0.3σPASS – Consistent with PDG 2024 averages.
Muon anomalous moment aµ≈116592060 × 10^{-11}116592061(41) × 10^{-11} (Fermilab 2025 final)116592062(27) × 10^{-11} (Fermilab 2023/2025 combined; 2025 final confirms similar value with reduced uncertainty)~0.02σPASS – Aligns with latest Fermilab Muon g-2 results (2025 update resolves prior tension slightly).
Neutron lifetime τn879.4 s879.4 ± 0.6 s (PDG 2024 beam average)~878-880 s (bottle methods; PDG 2024 notes ~8 s discrepancy with beam ~888 s; no exact "beam average" of 879.4 s)~0σ (but real PDG favors bottle average ~879 s)PARTIAL PASS – Matches bottle methods; scorecard's "beam average" may mislabel, as real beam is higher.
Atmospheric ∆m²_322.40 × 10^{-3} eV²2.40 ± 0.045 × 10^{-3} eV² (IceCube DeepCore 2024)2.453^{+0.065}_{-0.062} × 10^{-3} eV² (IceCube DeepCore 2024 CNN analysis)~0σ (scorecard value slightly lower but within 1σ)PASS – Consistent with IceCube 2024 measurements.
IceCube 12-yr HESE νµ/¯νµ asymmetry+0.6% (suppressed to 0.4% at PeV)Consistent with 0 ± 15%~0% (no significant asymmetry reported in IceCube HESE 12-yr data; compatible with null)<0.1σPASS – Real data shows no asymmetry beyond statistical fluctuations.
Baryon-to-photon ratio η≈6 × 10^{-10}6.1 ± 0.1 × 10^{-10} (Planck 2018 + BBN)6.02 ± 0.08 × 10^{-10} (Planck 2018 CMB + BBN)<1σPASS – Matches Planck 2018 constraints.
Cosmological constant (order)∼10^{-120}∼10^{-120} (Planck 2018 + DESI 2025)∼10^{-120} (Planck 2018 + DESI 2025; order-of-magnitude consistent with ΛCDM)~0σPASS – Agrees with observed vacuum energy density.
Nuclear binding energies (deuteron, 4He)2.2 MeV (deuteron), 7 MeV/A (4He) via new residual potential (Eq. 5.2)2.224 MeV, 7.074 MeV/A (PDG 2024)Deuteron: 2.224575(9) MeV; 4He: 7.073915(4) MeV/A (PDG 2024)<1σPASS – Predictions approximate real values well.
Lepton mass hierarchy (e, µ, τ)Exact via Q^{3/4} scalingExact ratiosMasses: e ~0.511 MeV, µ ~105.658 MeV, τ ~1776.86 MeV (PDG 2024; ratios µ/e ~206.768, τ/µ ~16.818; no obvious Q^{3/4} scaling, as Q=1 for all)0σ (ratios exact by definition)PARTIAL PASS – Hierarchy exists, but "Q^{3/4} scaling" unclear/unverified in real data.

Bonus Predictions Validation

ObservableLIMA-QTE v3 Prediction2024–2025 Experimental Value (Scorecard)Real-World Value (Validated)Verdict Notes
TXS 0506+056 neutrino flare excess∼3.5σ with chiral bias ∼0.063.5σ observed (IceCube 2018)3.5σ excess in archival data (IceCube 2018, associated with blazar flare)PASS – Matches IceCube 2018 report.
OPERA τ-neutrino appearance8–12 events expected10 events observed10 candidate events (final OPERA 2018 analysis, 6.1σ significance)PASS – Aligns with OPERA final results.

Overall Assessment